About
Content
Store
Forum

Rebirth of Reason
War
People
Archives
Objectivism

Post to this threadMark all messages in this thread as readMark all messages in this thread as unread


Post 0

Monday, December 16, 2013 - 11:50amSanction this postReply
Bookmark
Link
Edit
We've in the past discussed what might be the best measure of the quantity of the USD/FRN money supply. I've in the past vouched for using the monetary base (FRED BASENS.

Fed Monetary Base


Today I stumbled upon the "Fiat Quantity Money" measure by Alasdair Macleod. I havne't yet found any source for getting more periodic updates on this measure... it would be neat if someone posted bi-weekly updates for this like the FRED.

"Fiat Quantity Money"


You can actually see the dot-com bubble burst reaction and the 2008 housing bubble burst reaction... and the inflation spike before them that caused the bubbles in the first place. I really like the idea of using "reversing back to a gold standard" as a measure of money supply. Then its just a question of which method would be used if everybody at once demanded withdraw of their deposits: 1. Default or 2. Print money. Given that #2 was used, FQM would be the best measure of the FRN money supply. Given #1 was used, BASENS would be the best measure of the FRN money supply. I'd say that #2 is more likely to be the method chosen.

Given FQM, that puts the FRN money supply at ~12T (as of sept 2013). Given BASENS, 3.75T.

Said in a different way... BASENS is one level of money printing (by the central bank), verses FQM is another level of money printing at the FDIC bank deposit level.

Post 1

Monday, December 16, 2013 - 11:57amSanction this postReply
Bookmark
Link
Edit
Here's the similar Misis Institute's "True Money Supply" TMS but its severely outdated (data ends on 2011-04-01).

Post 2

Monday, December 16, 2013 - 12:11pmSanction this postReply
Bookmark
Link
Edit
Oh no! I didn't mean for the article to be highlighted on this website like this. I should have made it news or put it in my blog. Sorry.

Sanction: 6, No Sanction: 0
Sanction: 6, No Sanction: 0
Post 3

Monday, December 16, 2013 - 1:17pmSanction this postReply
Bookmark
Link
Edit
Katastrophenhausse

...preceded by WieselMüdigkeit

It's when the Volks have finally had enough of the weasels in wingtips constantly jacking around with the money supply as a hidden tax on everyone else who is actually doing something other than reptiling after value-proxies, like parasites.


America, I think, is long past WieselMüdigkeit.







Post 4

Friday, December 20, 2013 - 7:35amSanction this postReply
Bookmark
Link
Edit
Using Macleod's FMQ (wow haha I just noticed in my previous post that I mistakenly swapped the M and Q)...

In 2008.5 FMQ was ~5,500
In 2014.0 FMQ was ~12,500
That's 5.5 years to change by a ratio of 2.2727. 2.2727^(1/5.5) = 1.1610.

16.10% inflation per year since mid-2008 using FMQ.

Verses previously I had calculated inflation to be ~30% per year using BASENS.

Post to this thread


User ID Password or create a free account.