| | In Post 78, Phil wrote, The fact is that a lot of the stuff that government does has to get done or we don't survive.
Take global warming, for example. Each individual person or company has an interest in making as much profit for themselves as possible, which is good. However, any individual or company can polute to their heart's desire, with the rest of humankind and other life forms that we might want to preserve, paying the cost. Those companies or individuals who opt out and try to be "moral," are simply screwing themselves, as their opting out simply makes room for more polluters. This view of global warming is fast becoming discredited. The latest evidence suggests that global warming is not caused primarily by carbon dioxide but by solar activity. Granted, global warming and carbon dioxide are correlated, but the causal relation is the opposite of what is alleged by Al Gore in his now famous chart correlating the two phenomena. Rather than an increase in carbon dioxide causing the associated global warming, it is the global warming (caused by an uptick in solar activity) that causes an increase in carbon dioxide by releasing more of it from the ocean.
In fact, Dr. Willie Soon has pointed out that far from being an air pollutant, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere today (380 parts per million or about 0.04 percent) is suboptimal for the growth of plants and marine life. What is optimal is a concentration of from 600 to 1500 ppm. Dr. Soon's views should not be dismissed or taken lightly. He is an astrophysicist and a geoscientist at the Solar, Stellar and Planetary Sciences Division of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. He is also the receiving editor in the area of solar and stellar physics for New Astronomy and is the chief science adviser of the Science and Public Policy Institute (based in Washington DC). He writes and lectures both professionally and publicly on important issues related to the Sun, other stars and the Earth as well as general science topics in astronomy and physics.
More importantly, it is not just plants and marine life that depend on carbon dioxide; it is human life itself. As Dr. Keith Lockitch pointed out in a recent lecture, economic growth is closely tied to carbon dioxide emissions. Europe has been keeping emissions data for two decades following the Kyoto Protocol, and what the data suggest is a direct relationship between carbon emissions and economic progress.
Between 1990 and 2005, European countries such as Spain, Greece, Ireland and Portugal enjoyed strong economic growth. Spain, for example, experienced a growth in GDP of more than 50% over that period. And over the same period, the growth in carbon dioxide emissions in these countries was around 53%. By contrast, other countries in Europe during that period, such as France and England, grew at a much smaller rate, and their carbon emissions reflected it, growing by a modest 4%.
Conversely, from 1991 to 1993, Europe was hit hard by a recession. There was a big economic downturn, and the carbon dioxide data show that during this two-year period, carbon emissions dropped by 4%. Now a 4% decline in the economy is bad enough, but when America went through the Great Depression, it experienced a 30% drop in GDP between 1929 and 1933. And this is often referred to as the worst economic disaster of the 20th Century, which was a period of widespread misery and suffering.
With that in mind, consider that we’re contemplating policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions, not by 30% but by 80 to 90%. A corresponding drop in GDP on that scale would be absolutely catastrophic. It would make the Great Depression look like a party. It’s hard to imagine the devastation this would inflict on people’s lives. Industrial scale energy is an indispensable foundation of modern industrial civilization. Policies aimed at cutting off carbon emissions would deal be an absolutely devastating blow to that foundation.
What we should be concerned about is not "man-made global warming," but man-made impoverishment due to a radical reduction in carbon-dioxide emissions.
- Bill
(Edited by William Dwyer on 7/03, 9:48pm)
(Edited by William Dwyer on 7/03, 11:35pm)
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