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Saturday, September 15, 2012 - 11:21amSanction this postReply
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The Federal Reserve has already increased the monetary base from 900 billion at the end of 2008 to 2600 billion today (end of 2012). That's a yearly inflation rate of 30.27%.

A significant portion of QE1 and QE2 went towards buying short term US Federal Government bonds. Now the Federal Reserve is selling those bonds and buying long term bonds (at a very low interest rate), called "operation twist", which effectively means they have permanently increased the monetary base via QE1 + QE2 + operation twist.

There is no chance that these bonds will be paid back with USD that has a purchasing power anywhere equal to what the Federal Reserve is buying them... not when the Federal Reserve is increasing the MB by 18 to 30% per year. Not when the bond yield is 3%.

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Saturday, September 15, 2012 - 12:24pmSanction this postReply
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They say that this Fed operation involves buying mortgage bonds - that's a very different operation than prior Quantitative Easing. The cynic in me suggests that the big mortgage bond holders (Fannie, Freddie, Goldman Sachs) might benefit from this - Can't you just hear one of Geitner's buddies at Goldman Sachs saying, "Hey, let's have Geitner talk Bernanke into taking some of these dogs off our books."

40 billion a month of fiat money going into these markets, then spreading out from there as what? If they buy from Fannie and Freddie, will that result in a sucking kind of pressure for more mortgage lending in the housing market? Will we get a new, mini-bubble? If institutions like Goldman Sachs get some of this money, will they buy up Treasuries? Or, corporate debt, or other companies? Is money going to go from the Fed to European Central Banks to pull bad mortgage bonds off their weak spreadsheets? Or will buys be made in ways that shore up bankrupt states like California?

There is only one thing stopping MASSIVE inflation right now - massive uncertainty caused by the Obama administration's policies. When that uncertainty is significantly diminished the huge demand for money will drop and all those reserve accounts in banks and in corporations will open like flood gates of a giant dam.

And this QE is "open ended" - there is no limit to how long it can go on and a stated commitment to continue till we get job growth. That spells the end of the American dollar - it is total commitment to a blind, fanatical print-till-our-problems-go-away philosophy, blind because from that perspective they will never see that the printing is causing the problems.

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Saturday, September 15, 2012 - 5:37pmSanction this postReply
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Worked wonders for the Weimar republic! Wasn't the german mark devalued to around 4million marks/ british pound during that government's money printing fiasco?

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Sunday, September 16, 2012 - 6:58pmSanction this postReply
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Debt must also be taken; it isnt' unilaterally given.

In the current rigged risk environment, QE is an attempt to push rope down a hill.

Steve asks the right question; who takes on this additional debt and why?


Banks do not unilaterally 'lend more.'


Is it being taken on to invest in the next Facebook(that employs maybe 3200 people), or is it being taken on to build the next Beth Steel(that at its peak employed over 300,000 workers?

Or is it being borrowed to pay Chinese contractors building bridges in America?

ABC News recently reported on the State of California awarding a 7 billion bridge project to China. (!) CA refused federal funds so they could avoid the high sounding 'Buy America' requirements. What wasn't reported was that this also allowed CA to avoid the "prevailing wage" law, which forces non-union bidders to pay labor rates equivalent to local union wages even if a non-union contractor wins the bid. Go ask anyone in construction about 'prevailing wage' contract requirements and their impact on business in America.


And here us a case where a state government refuses federal money on a $7B bridge project (because they didn't want it to be a $21B bridge project...)

Is anyone wondering why ABC News didn't report this aspect of this outrage>? It highlights -exactly- what is pushing American jobs overseas; here is an example of a state government doing what Big Bad Business is supposedly doing out of greed.

The only greed in evidence is the choke hold that a handful of special interest unions have on our laws aimed at US business.

In any of this is there even the slightest evidence that our governmental 'the economy' runners have even a shred of competence suitable to the task?


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