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Post 60

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 6:40amSanction this postReply
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Nick, it is possible for me to have interesting and enjoyable discussions with people who disagree with me, but it is not possible with you.  Discussing issues with you is like banging my head against a wall.  So, if you call avoiding this activity avoiding a "workout" and seeking the "fluffy and pleasant", so be it.  Here's to the fluffy and pleasant!

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Post 61

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 7:12amSanction this postReply
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Nick said to Laure:
Others on this board, including you, have not been pleasant to me, just because I challenge their views.
Nick, If you really believe this, and it's not just a debating strategy, then you are even more stupid than I thought.
I prefer talking with those who don't mind a workout and perhaps a few scrapes and bruises. Perhaps you need safety and security, pleasantness and softness, and nobody who will tell you that you are wrong.
And yet, here you are.

Please, please, stop arguing with this person and he will go away. (begin HS*) I can't stand having the foundations of my philosophy rocked by his brilliant insights and penetrating questions.  Give me back my "safety and security".  (End HS*)

Nick is an energy sink from which no value is returned.

*HS = Heavy Sarcasm


Post 62

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 8:52amSanction this postReply
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Nick, it is possible for me to have interesting and enjoyable discussions with people who disagree with me, but it is not possible with you.  Discussing issues with you is like banging my head against a wall.  So, if you call avoiding this activity avoiding a "workout" and seeking the "fluffy and pleasant", so be it.  Here's to the fluffy and pleasant!
I don't think you've even tried to discuss anything with me. You came on this thread telling me I am full of it. You accuse me of twisting definitions, and you maintain that there is no faith in inductive reasoning. Do you expect me just to agree with you? I'm the one banging my head against a wall with detailed explanations supporting my position while you come back and ask if we are done. You call this banging your head against a wall? You tell me I'm the unpleasant person, as you cut and run, yet I have not given back half as much as you and others here have given me.

There is faith in inductive reasoning. I have not been merely claiming this dogmatically and supporting my arguments with insults against those who disagree with me. I have presented examples and explanations which have gone ignored. I am not going to give in to people who are wrong just so they will think I'm pleasant. If that makes me a wall, in their minds, then it can't be helped.

Nick, If you really believe this, and it's not just a debating strategy, then you are even more stupid than I thought.
Let me return the compliment and say how much I appreciate good argumentation rather than childish, borish, and witless insult. (HS*)

bis bald,

Nick





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Post 63

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 9:41amSanction this postReply
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Mr. Nicholas Neal Otani wrote (post 54):
I have explained repeatedly about how inductive reasoning is normally inconclusive and requires a leap of faith. I am being argued with, as if any evidence supporting a conclusion does away with faith. It does not. If you inspect a sampling and draw a general conclusion about the whole, you make an inductive leap. That’s what normal inductive reasoning does. If you disagree with that, then show me where.
So on Nick's view, there is a dichotomy. There is certainty and faith, nothing between them, and  anything less than certainty requires faith. This is contrary to ordinary usage. He allows no room for degree of confidence nor for evaluating the strength of the evidence.

The fact is that different inductive conclusions have different strengths of evidence, and most people recognize this. Bill Dwyer wrote (post 51):

Rand uses the term "faith" to mean the acceptance of something as true without sensory evidence or rational proof.
Correct. "Faith" is one pole of a spectrum, with certainty at the other pole, and varying degrees of confidence based on the strength of the evidence between the two poles. Most of us recognize that this is, or is consistent with, what Rand meant by "faith" -- believing a proposition is true when the strength of the evidence is ZERO -- as she, not the believer, evaluated it.

Nick wrote:

I do not care how Rand uses the term.
Nick, many of us and I do not care how you use the term.


Post 64

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 10:37amSanction this postReply
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(Nick)I have explained repeatedly about how inductive reasoning is normally inconclusive and requires a leap of faith. I am being argued with, as if any evidence supporting a conclusion does away with faith. It does not. If you inspect a sampling and draw a general conclusion about the whole, you make an inductive leap. That’s what normal inductive reasoning does. If you disagree with that, then show me where.

(Merlin)So on Nick's view, there is a dichotomy. There is certainty and faith, nothing between them, and  anything less than certainty requires faith. This is contrary to ordinary usage. He allows no room for degree of confidence nor for evaluating the strength of the evidence.

(Nick)Please prove that this is contrary to ordinary usage. When someone checks some of the evidence and makes a truth statement about all the evidence, tell me there isn’t some trust or belief, faith, that the unchecked evidence will be like the checked evidence. If someone owns a car for twenty years, and the breaks have always held in the past, he might consider that strong evidence that they will hold for another twenty years. After all, if the sun always appeared to come up each morning in the past, that is considered strong evidence that it will appear to come up tomorrow. And, if several Japanese people are good at math, isn’t that strong evidence that all Japanese people are strong in math? To say there is no faith involved in these examples is contrary to ordinary usage.


(Merlin)The fact is that different inductive conclusions have different strengths of evidence, and most people recognize this.

(Nick)Yes, and most people recognize that inductive reasoning requires a leap of faith, sometimes less than other times, depending on the strength of the argument.

(Merlin) "Faith" is one pole of a spectrum, with certainty at the other pole, and varying degrees of confidence based on the strength of the evidence between the two poles. Most of us recognize that this is, or is consistent with, what Rand meant by "faith" -- believing a proposition is true when the strength of the evidence is ZERO -- as she, not the believer, evaluated it.

(Nick)Listen to yourself. According to you, there is no faith if there is even a little bit of evidence supporting a general conclusion. It has to be none at all in order for the word “faith” to be used. If certainty is on the other end of the spectrum, then nothing can be “certain” when there are only varying degrees of certainty. You really have to force the pieces to fit, don’t you? If faith and certainty are poles on a spectrum, then there are degrees of faith and certainty between them. That is the more accepted way of seeing it, according to ordinary usage.

(Merlin)Nick, many of us and I do not care how you use the term.

 

(Nick)Yes, I can see that. It is, however, no rational refutation for how I use the term. You and others have strong faith.

 

Bis bald,

 

Nick





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Post 65

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 11:57amSanction this postReply
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Nick: "There are several places where Rand was not clear and precise. She digressed with polemics and was not careful in making her points. She was more provoking and inflammatory than she was precise. That is why her essays never appeared in respected professional journals."

To the best of my knowledge, she never *tried* to get her work published in "respected professional journals." That's probably because she actually wanted people outside of academia to read them.

"And, because my method of discussing philosophical issues is vague to you, it does not make my method of discussing philosophical issues objectively vague."

No, your method is objectively vague.

"I’m under no assumption you care to understand me, Jon. You want to make your wild inductive leaps of faith and condemn me, don’t you?"

I did try to understand what you wrote at first. Then I concluded that you're so epistemically confused, it's not worth the effort.

Seriously, you should call your philosophy "Otaniism." Leave Ayn Rand and Objectivism out of it.

Post 66

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 8:27pmSanction this postReply
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What you think I should do is of no concern to me.

Post 67

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 9:30pmSanction this postReply
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Dude, my refutations of your claims still stands. Either refute them or do the S-to the-T-to the-F-to the-U, kk? kk.

-- Bridget
(Edited by Bridget Armozel
on 7/28, 9:30pm)


Post 68

Friday, July 28, 2006 - 11:21pmSanction this postReply
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(Bridget)Faith presupposes one cannot be wrong. Reasonable assumptions presuppose that possibility of being wrong. Therefore, faith is not the predication of any philosophy that has assumptions.

So, Nick, stop shifting definitions or I'll hit you with my n00b stick. :-P

 

(Nick)No Bridget, you are twisting definitions by adding your own little qualifications to them. Some people do question matters of faith or distinguish between faith and knowledge. For example, they say they cannot know that God exists, so they have faith. Other people do not question assumptions, thinking they are knowledge, as when a bigot assumes people of certain races are lazy or stupid. In some contexts, leaps of faith and assumptions are different ways of saying the same thing. One might also use the word “belief” or “supposition.”

 

Let's say Jack, an Objectivist, has an old car and, lately, he has been hearing squeaking noises when he uses the breaks. However, he is "confident" that the breaks are okay based on the inductive reasoning that they are still working, when he drives on flat surfaces and doesn't go very fast before he breaks. George, a Neo-Objectivist, suggests that Jack get his breaks checked, but Jack thinks Neo-Objectivists are not as rational as Objectivists, so loans his car to another friend who dies when the breaks fail on a hill and the car crashes. Was this Jack's fault?  Did he have too much "confidence"?

 

(Bridget)That's a faulty argument because you're presupposing one would not check the brakes to be sure. If you hear squeaking, it means the brakes are about flat pass the regulation/standard level of metal. Your logic also fails because there are clear signs of brake failure or weakness by examing the brake wheel, to which a pad presses against, for any grooves or odd line-like blemishes. Btw, how do I know this, Nick? I was a CDL licensed bus driver, so I know how disc brakes have to work, lines, pumps, and all. It's state regulation that I must know as much as the mechanic knows about a vehicle I operate. QED again Nick.

 

(Nick)Of course the man was wrong because he was relying on inductive reasoning which was inconclusive. He didn’t check the other things. If he would have used more than the one inductive argument, then he may have found a problem.

Also, in your case, suspending all critique, if that were to happen that is misguided confidence thusly, it is faith and not based on reason, nor is it inductive because inductive reasoning requires as many variables to be isolated before agreeing within a margin of error that it is so. So, if you want to pull more bulls**t out of your arse on what induction entails, be my guest, but remember, you are talking to a science major, and you will be corrected every time by your claims about induction. Also, your example is what is called NAIVE INDUCTION, or faulty induction, where variables in the line of causation have not been isolated. It's also the source of common sense, folk medicine, folk psychology, and other schema driven propositions.

 

(Bridget)No, the man used inductive reasoning, and it was not enough. If there is a margin of error, there is still a leap of faith. That is what “margin of error” means.

Again, you lose, good day sir.

 

I would also add what philosophy a person has is not the basis for any argument with regard to inductive propositions. Inductive propositions must be handled by what variables are accounted for in it. If Jack does not prove he has isolated all known, and possibly unknown, variables then his argument is suspect. If George does not ask if any variables have been isolated, then his argument is equally suspect, but on the basis that he has no reasonable doubt within bounds of a margin of error.


(Nick)Inductive arguments are, by their nature, inconclusive. There is room for suspicion. That’s where the inductive leap takes place. If a hundred thousand abadabs are bugaboos but hundred thousand and one of them exist, then there is a leap of faith to the conclusion that all abadabs are bugaboos.


(Bridget)Thusly, the plead to differing philosophies in such arguments is pointless, induction is a universal method outside of any particular set of philosophies. Essentially, I call it the 'meta'-philosophy of all of them.

 

(Nick)I don’t care about different philosophies. I just used them to identify two different people in my example. You are wasting effort by making a big deal out of this.

 

(Bridget)Sir, define faith. Faith is the belief in things not see [or perceived], but hoped for. That's the Biblical definition and I stand by it as the most accurate.

 

(Nick)Yes, faith can mean “belief in things not seen,” and, in inductive arguments, not everything is seen. There are general conclusions based on a sampling of the evidence, not all of it.

(Bridget)Take the car argument again.

X hears the brakes squeeling, a sure sign that the break pads are down to bare steel or an oil/brake fluid leak that would weaken the brakes response for anyone atleast accustomed to driving theirs to such condition, and alerts Y to the problem. Y says it's nothing to worry about because he thinks X is irrational for arbitrary reasons. Y's brakes give out and he does wind up in a wreck.

 

(Nick)If Y only goes on the authority of X, it is an argument from authority. Y would have to have faith in X’s authority.

(Bridget)I think that's the easiest way to some it up. Now, Y never ever isolated the source of the noise not coming from the brake pads. X was right to point out the issue because it's a verified fact that such issues can be a problem. That means, X was not in the wrong and was inductively right, and Y was wrong because he never isolated the claim aka falsified it beyond the obvious facts which were apparent. That means, when an inductive statement is proven by apparent fact and that the opposing viewpoint/side never isolates that fact apart from the causal chain(s) asserted by the proposing viewpoint/side, then it follows that the initial statement is true by the facts given. If the opposing side isolates the given fact apart from the proposed causal chain, then it is wrong. That is how inductive reasoning operates, Nick, and you seem to be hiding from it. There is no faith in inductive reasoning, it's all explanations of REAL PHENOMENA NOT THINGS UNSEEN OR HOPED FOR. Thusly, your claim is false categorically that inductive reasoning entails faith.

 

(Nick)No, you are adding deductive arguments to the example. You are adding the premise that noise from break pads is a verified sign of a problem. You are using more than one rational in your adaptation of the example. If we just keep the argument liner, then there is still a leap of faith, a conclusion about the whole based on a sampling. There is evidence not seen in most inductive arguments.  

(Bridget)Inductive reasoning does entail some assumptions, but that is not the same as faith, because assumptions are often made to eliminate alternatives.

 

(Nick)Nope, assumptions are often used interchangeably the leaps of faith. Yes, I know the hypothesis can be tested. If the results are not conclusive, the conclusions are still assumptions, just more certain than before.

 

(Bridget) It's exactly what is done with genetic algorithms in computer science, it exhausts all the assumed, or possible, variables until either it hits upon the right one giving the programmer the solution or it does not. If you hit upon a sufficient number of correct variables via assumptions, then you know more than you did not. That is why Hume's Inductive Fallacy is in fact a fallacy as well, it assumes that any degree of uncertainty is equivocal to total uncertainty. And that does not work in the real world, where people make inductive statements via assumptions everyday. From Joe the mechanic trying to figure out what's wrong with your car to Ted the Physicist trying to explain why a certain particle mass keeps showing up in the data collection on an linear accelerator. Both must take steps to decrease uncertainty by making assumptions, especially ones that they both can equally dispose of when proven to be invalid/unsound.

 

(Nick)Yes, and very often people come up with workable solutions to problems. Still, they can be wrong. Pragmatism only has the appearance of truth. A patient can get better by taking placebos and think there is a cause and effect relationship between his or her recovery and the placebo, but this is only faith, not truth. If it can be verified that all abadabs are bugaboos and Joe the mechanic or Ted the physicist finds an abadab, then Joe or Ted found a bugaboo. However, this is a deductive argument, not an inductive argument. And, sometimes, inductive leaps can be right. It is possible that they can be wrong. It is more likely than not that if I buy a lottery ticket, I will not win, according to inductive probabilities. It is possible, however, that I will win.

 

(Bridget)What I can't understand is why you think otherwise. You think feelings come into the equation when they don't. I would love to see a more in-depth post by you that isn't half-baked garbage. You even got a friend of mine, who's an MS in math and wanting to study philosophy all wondering where you get these ideas, and why you can't set down your definitions in stone! And he hasn't written you off, he's far more open to ideas than me. So, please, make a case that isn't on such weak grounds before you totally lose all credibility with me.

 

(Nick)You are associating feelings and wishful thinking with faith. I’m not. I’m using t as some people use the word “assumption.” I think there are degrees of certainty and uncertainty and degrees of faith. Faith is not always reserved for religious discussions. Making assumptions based on inductive reasoning is not pure, blind faith, but it is a leap of faith.

 

Bis bald,

 

Nick

(Edited by Mr. Nicholas Neal Otani on 7/28, 11:23pm)


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Post 69

Saturday, July 29, 2006 - 10:06amSanction this postReply
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You say I am mixing deduction, which you are wrong categorically because inductive logic requires people to use things that SEEM like deduction to make induction possible.

Here's a textbook example from my logic lab.

... 100 of the 400 people said they preferred X over Y. Find, within the margin of error, the probability that the sample reflects a population. ...

According to you, this is not possible, yet it is by the simple fact of probability. Now, you have to give a reason why I cannot make conclusions based on probabily. You have to explain how you evade the very nature of probability and mathematics. If you try to redefine terms in probability theory and mathematics in general, I suggest that you do not, because I happen to be also interested in mathematics as well, thusly, I will put you to task for faulty redefinitions.

Also, you are using a deluted definition for faith. Stop using it, because it is not correct by the nature that anything now becomes a matter of faith, which it is not. Faith is the hope for things unperceived/unseen. It is that simple. That means, a scientist is not being faithful in research. That means, an automechanic is not being faithful when isolating various causes for a car's failure to operate. That means, a medical doctor that isolates the causes of symptoms is not being faithful. It is that simple. They cannot operate on faith. They can only operate on assumptions, which have no feeling of hope attached. And assumptions are based on very very simple atomic statements, which faith is not based on. Faith is categorically based on non-atomic statements, if you would take the fraking time to study it in theology.

You lose again, Nick. Stop trying to evade and basically lie to yourself and others.

-- Bridget
(Edited by Bridget Armozel
on 7/29, 10:11am)


Post 70

Saturday, July 29, 2006 - 2:52pmSanction this postReply
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Well put, Bridget.

Ed

Post 71

Saturday, July 29, 2006 - 2:52pmSanction this postReply
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And theology, of course, is a phoney discipline....

Post 72

Saturday, July 29, 2006 - 3:28pmSanction this postReply
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According to you, this is not possible, yet it is by the simple fact of probability. Now, you have to give a reason why I cannot make conclusions based on probabily. You have to explain how you evade the very nature of probability and mathematics. If you try to redefine terms in probability theory and mathematics in general, I suggest that you do not, because I happen to be also interested in mathematics as well, thusly, I will put you to task for faulty redefinitions.


No, I didn't say it wasn't possible. Why do you lie? You can make conclusions based on probability if you want. They just aren't 100% certain. They are within a margin of error. It is still possible they couold be wrong. Therefore, you are taking a risk, making a leap of faith. (And, please stop telling me what you are interested in and threatening me. I'm not impressed.)


Also, you are using a deluted definition for faith. Stop using it, because it is not correct by the nature that anything now becomes a matter of faith, which it is not. Faith is the hope for things unperceived/unseen. It is that simple. That means, a scientist is not being faithful in research. That means, an automechanic is not being faithful when isolating various causes for a car's failure to operate. That means, a medical doctor that isolates the causes of symptoms is not being faithful. It is that simple. They cannot operate on faith. They can only operate on assumptions, which have no feeling of hope attached. And assumptions are based on very very simple atomic statements, which faith is not based on. Faith is categorically based on non-atomic statements, if you would take the fraking time to study it in theology.
I am using your definition, that faith is hope for thngs unperceived/unseen. A hypothesis s a conclusion based on some that is perceived/ seen but much whch s not. When it is tested, it is seen if that faith is justified, if it can become knowledge and not just faith. The car mechanic also has to guess a lot and make assumptions, leaps of faith, until he sees if he is right. Sometimes he is, but sometimes he must try something else. A medical doctor also makes inductive leaps. His or her initial diagonsis is a provisional hypothesis, and he or she prescribes a course of action which he or she hopes will solve the problem. It is not pure faith, like in divine revelation of faith healing, but it is making little inductive leaps, some longer or shorter than others.

You lose again, Nick. Stop trying to evade and basically lie to yourself and others.

You are still sufferng from bad faith, Bridget.

bis bald,

Nick 


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Post 73

Saturday, July 29, 2006 - 6:41pmSanction this postReply
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And you are stuck in the Platonic wormhole....

Post 74

Saturday, July 29, 2006 - 8:19pmSanction this postReply
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And you are stuck in the Platonic wormhole....

There are several ways that partial sentence can be taken. Why not use a few more sentences and put together a paragraph to make your meaning perfectly clear?

bis bald,

Nick


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